Pi Network holders locked 3.3M PI in a day (as of {{publish_datetime_kst}}), even as the protocol reduced its mining rate to curb inflation.
We translate that tape into clear triggers, invalidation, and execution so you can act with discipline.
🧭 Decision Map: Setup, Trigger, Invalidation
The working setup focuses on Pi’s immediate range: support near $0.32, resistance around $0.35. A valid trigger is a clean reclaim of $0.35 with sustained volume and visible top-of-book depth on liquid offshore PI/USDT pairs. Invalidation = a daily close below $0.30 on expanding volume, which signals step-back and reassess.
📐 Risk & Positioning: Sizing, Stops, Sequencing
Conservative sleeves: wait for confirmation above $0.35 and tighten sizing until spreads normalize after the break. Active sleeves: consider pilot entries after intraday higher lows near $0.33 with quick cuts if momentum stalls. For both sleeves, place initial stops just below $0.30 and revisit only on fresh signals.
📊 Signals & Thresholds (Venue Quality → Execution)
If 24h spot volume across the top two offshore PI/USDT venues rises ≥25% vs. its 7-day average and top-of-book spreads stay within 0.8%, the setup improves; otherwise, stand down. If daily RSI pushes through 40 from oversold and funding moves toward neutral, treat the next higher low as an add-on window. Avoid engagement when slippage widens at the open or depth thins materially.
🎯 Playbook: What to Do Now
Conservative: keep Pi on the watchlist and wait for a confirmed daily close above $0.35 with normal spreads before scaling. Active: use a small pilot above $0.33, add only if volume confirms and the prior intraday high holds as support. If invalidation prints (daily close < $0.30 on rising volume), exit and reset.
🚀 Actionable Intelligence
The single gate to track next is whether price can reclaim and hold above $0.35 with spreads ≤0.8% while offshore 24h volume stays ≥7-day average. That flips the bias to constructive; failure to meet those conditions argues for patience and position discipline today.
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